•  PERSONAL

• EDUCATION

Purdue University
West Lafayette, Indiana 47907
Ph.D. degree in Agricultural Economics
Thesis Title: "Time Series Modeling of the Live Hog Market: Forecasts and Analysis of Dynamics"
Completion date: December 1985

Purdue University
West Lafayette, Indiana 47907
M.S. degree in Agricultural Economics
Thesis Title: "An Analysis of the International Wheat Market Structure Using Granger Causality"
Completion date: December 1980

Undergraduate:
University of California, San Diego
La Jolla, California 92093
B.A. in Economics
Completion date: June 1977
 

•  WORK EXPERIENCE

Department of Agricultural Economics
University of Missouri
Columbia, Missouri 65211
Title: Assistant Professor
Dates: December 1985 - September 1992
Duties: 70 percent research, 30 percent teaching.

Department of Agricultural Economics
Purdue University
West Lafayette, Indiana 47907
Title: Research Assistant
Dates: August 1981 - December 1985 and September 1979 - December 1980
Duties: Primarily dissertation and thesis related research.

Semi-Arid Food Grains Research and Development
Farming Systems Unit.
B.P. 1783
Ouagadougou, Upper Volta
Title: Agricultural Economist
Dates: January 1981 - July 1981
Duties: While stationed in Ouagadougou, helped conduct farming systems research. Aided in the design of farmer surveys and wrote computer programs to manage the data. Supervised implementation of data management system. Also conducted preliminary statistical analysis of the data.

Schnittker Associates
1339 Wisconsin Avenue, NW, Washington, D.C. 20007
Title: Commodity Analyst
Dates: July 1978 - July 1979
Duties: Informed clients of expected movements in futures prices, especially coffee, cocoa, and FCOJ. Information was disseminated via quarterly reports, updates, telephone and personal conversations. Devised and supervised handling of a database for a WANG minicomputer. Wrote computer programs used for simulations, regressions, and other data manipulations.

• REFEREED JOURNAL ARTICLES

Kaylen, M.S., D.L. Van Dyne, Y.S. Choi and M.G. Blase. "Estimating the Economic Feasibility of Producing Ethanol and Fine Chemicals from Lignocellulosic Feedstocks in Missouri." Submitted to Bioresource Technology.   Kaylen, M.S., D.L. Van Dyne, Y.S. Choi and M.G. Blase. "Estimating the Economic Feasibility of Producing Ethanol and Fine Chemicals from Municipal Solid Waste in Missouri." In preparation for Bioresource Technology.

Qiu, Zeyuan, Tony Prato and Michael Kaylen. "Watershed-Scale Economic and Environmental Tradeoffs Incorporating Risks: A Target MOTAD Approach." Agricultural and Resource Economics Review 27 (1998): 231-240.

Kaylen, Michael S., Andrew Washington and Donald D. Osburn. "Estimating Tourism Expenditures for Open-Access Amateur Sports Tournaments." Journal of Travel Research 36 (1998): 78-79.

Lambert, David K., Bruce A. McCarl, Qifen He, Michael S. Kaylen, Wesley Rosenthal, Ching-Cheng Chang and William I. Nayda. "Uncertain Yields in Sectoral Welfare Analysis: An Application to Global Warming." Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 27 (1995): 423-36.

Bempah, E. Osei, Michael S. Kaylen, Donald D. Osburn and Robert J. Birkenholz. "An Econometric Analysis of Teacher Mobility." Economics of Education Review. 13 (1994): 69-77.

Lawrence, John and Michael S. Kaylen. "Risk Management for Livestock Producers: Hedging and Contract Production." Journal of the American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers 57 (1993): 59-62.

Kaylen, Michael S., Hardeep Bhullar, David Vaught and Curtis Braschler. "Rural Landowners' Attitudes Towards the Missouri River State Trail." Journal of Leisure Research 25 (1993): 281-89.

Kaylen, Michael S., John W. Wade and Deon B. Frank. "A Regional Analysis of U.S Corn Yield Variability." Applied Economics 24 (1992): 513-18.

Kaylen, Michael S. and Suffyanu S. Koroma. "Trend, Weather Variables and the Distribution of U.S. Corn Yields." Review of Agricultural Economics 13 (1991): 249-58.

Feather, Peter M. and Michael S. Kaylen. "Conditional Qualitative Forecasting." American Journal of Agricultural Economics 71(1989): 195-201.

Kaylen, Michael S., Edna T. Loehman, and Paul V. Preckel. "Farm-level Analysis of Agricultural Insurance: A Mathematical Programming Approach." Agricultural Systems 30 (1989): 235-44.

Kaylen, Michael S. "Vector Autoregression Forecasting Models: Recent Developments Applied to the U.S. Hog Market." American Journal of Agricultural Economics 70 (1988): 701-12.

Kaylen, Michael S. and Jon A. Brandt. "A Note on Qualitative Forecast Evaluation: Comment." American Journal of Agricultural Economics 70(1988): 415-16.

Kaylen, Michael S., Gary T. Devino, and Michael H. Procter. "Optimal Use of Qualitative Models: An Application to Country Grain Elevator Bankruptcies." Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics 20, 2(1988): 119-25.

Kaylen, Michael S., Paul V. Preckel, and Edna T. Loehman. "Risk Modeling Via Direct Utility Maximization Using Numerical Quadrature." American Journal of Agricultural Economics 69(1987): 701-6.

Preckel, Paul V., Edna T. Loehman, and Michael S. Kaylen. "The Value of Public Information for Microeconomic Production Decisions." Western Journal of Agricultural Economics 12(1987): 193-97.

Kaylen, Michael S. "A Note on the Forecasting of Turning Points." North Central Journal of Agricultural Economics 8(1986): 155-8.

Spriggs, John, Michael Kaylen, and David Bessler. "The Lead- Lag Relationship between Canadian and U.S. Wheat Prices." American Journal of Agricultural Economics 64 (1982): 569-72.
 

• OTHER PUBLICATIONS

Van Dyne, D.L., Michael S. Kaylen and Melvin G. Blase. "The Economic Feasibility of Converting Ligno-Cellulosic Feedstocks into Ethanol and Higher Value Chemicals." A report to the Division of Energy, Department of Natural Resources, State of Missouri. June 1998.

Kaylen, Michael S. "Economic Impact of Missouri's Tourism and Travel Industry, 1994/95 through 1996/97." A report to the Division of Tourism, Department of Economic Development, State of Missouri, June 1998.

Kaylen, M.S. "Impact Analysis: Report 1-1997." Prepared for MU-Tourism Research and Development Center, October 8, 1997.

Kaylen, M.S. "Impact Analysis: Report 2-1997." Prepared for MU-Tourism Research and Development Center, November 19, 1997.

Kaylen, M.S. "Impact Analysis: Report 3-1997." Prepared for MU-Tourism Research and Development Center, December 16, 1997.

Braschler, C.H., D. Van Dyne, M.S. Kaylen and M.G. Blase. "Estimating Community-Based Non-Price Impacts of Producing Fuel Ethanol from Ligno-Cellulosic Feedstocks." (Poster at the Third Biomass Conference of the Americas, Montreal, Canada, August 24-29, 1997; Poster at Research Expo-VII, College of Agriculture, Food and Natural Resources, U. of Missouri, Fall, 1997)

Blase, Melvin, et al. "The Technical and Economic Feasibility of a Mass Burn Plant at Hercules, Inc., Louisiana, Missouri." Agricultural Economics Working Paper, AEWP-1997-2. April 1, 1997.

Lachaal, L., M. S. Kaylen and Abner W. Womack. "Discrete Stochastic Sequential Programming as a Decision Tool for Agriculture Sector Analysis." University of Missouri, Agricultural Economics Working Paper AEWP1994-6, 1994.

McCarl, Bruce A., David K. Lambert, Michael S. Kaylen and Ching-Cheng Chang. "Uncertain Yields and Adaptive Behavior in Sector Models." Resource Policy Analysis Series, Working Paper 93-5 May 1993.

Kaylen, Michael S. Book review of "Economic Logistics: The Optimization of Spatial and Sectoral Resource, Production, and Distribution Systems." New York: Greenwood Publishing Group, Inc., 1991. In American Journal of Agricultural Economics 74 (1992): 1054-1056.

Braschler, Curtis and Michael Kaylen. "An Overview of the Missouri Economy." In MU and Missourians First: a Public Policy Dialogue. November 20, 1991.

Bhullar, Hardeep, Curtis Braschler, Glenn Gillespie, Michael Kaylen and David Vaught. "Missouri River State Trail Study." Report prepared for the Missouri Department of Natural Resources, April 1991.

Hallam, Arne, Paul Preckel, Mike Kaylen, Peter Barry and Alan Featherstone. "Firm Level Risk Models Using Expected Utility Maximization: Regional Project S-232 Approach" (Forthcoming, Proceedings of the S-232 Seminar, San Antonio, Texas, March 1991.)

Lawrence, John D. and Michael S. Kaylen. "Risk Management for Livestock Producers: Hedging and Contract Production." (University of Minnesota Agricultural and Applied Economics Staff Paper P90-49.)

Kaylen, Michael S. "STS1: A FORTRAN Subroutine for Estimating Univariate Structural Time Series Models." University of Missouri Agricultural Economics Working Paper 1990-8, 1990.

Wade, John W., Michael S. Kaylen, and Deon B. Frank. "A Regional Analysis of U.S. Corn Yield Variability." (University of Missouri-Columbia Agricultural Economics Report 1990-7.)

Lambert, David K., Michael S. Kaylen and Bruce A. McCarl. "A Discrete Stochastic Programming Formulation of the Sectoral Model under Uncertain Yields." In Quantifying Long Run Agricultural Risks and Evaluating Farmer Responses to Risk, Proceedings of the S-232 Seminar, Sanibel Island, Florida, April 1990, 89-102.

Kaylen, Michael S. and Suffyanu S. Koroma. "Climatic Variables and the Distribution of U.S. Corn Yields." (University of Missouri-Columbia Agricultural Economics Report 1990-4.)

Kaylen, Michael S., Gary T. Devino, and Michael H. Procter. "Identification of Country Grain Elevators with Potential for Bankruptcy." (University of Missouri-Columbia Agricultural Economics Report 1987-13.)

Feather, Peter M. and Michael S. Kaylen. "Qualitative Composite Forecasting." (University of Missouri-Columbia Agricultural Economics Report 1987-12.)

Kaylen, Michael S. "Vector Autoregression Forecasting Models: A Suggestion and Evaluation Using Hog Market Data." (University of Missouri-Columbia Agricultural Economics Report 1987-11.)

Kaylen, Michael S. and Paul V. Preckel. "MINTDF: A FORTRAN Subroutine for Computing Parametric Integrals." Purdue University Agricultural Experiment Station Bulletin No. 519, West Lafayette, Indiana, 1987.

Loehman, Edna, Michael S. Kaylen, and Paul V. Preckel. "Stochastic Microeconomic Production Modeling: Foundation For Policy Analysis Under Risk." In Risk Analysis for Agricultural Production Firms: Implications for Managers, Policymakers and Researchers, Proceedings of the S-180 Seminar, Tampa, Florida, August 1986, 18-42.
 

• SELECTED PAPERS AND POSTERS

(The "*" indicates paper/poster was selected after review, otherwise the paper/poster was selected for presentation after review of the abstract. In the case of multiple authorship, the presenter’s name is underlined.)

Van Dyne, D.L., M.S. Kaylen and M.G. Blase. "Estimating the Optimum Biomass Refinery Size for Converting Lignocellulosic Feedstocks into Ethanol and Furfural." Presented at Bioenergy '98, Madison, WI, October 1998.

Van Dyne, D.L., M.S. Kaylen, and M.G. Blase. "The Economic Feasibility of Converting Ligno-Cellulosic Feedstocks into Ethanol and Higher Value Chemicals." Presented at the 1998 Fuel Ethanol Workshop and Trade Show International, South Bend, IN, July 8-10, 1998.

Van Dyne, D.L., M.S. Kaylen, and M.G. Blase. "The Economic Feasibility of Converting Ligno-Cellulosic Feedstocks into Ethanol and Higher Value Chemicals." Presented at the American Society of Agricultural Engineers Annual International Meeting, Orlando, Fl., July 14, 1998.

Blase, M.G., D.L. Van Dyne, M.S. Kaylen, and K. Pashi. "Economic Feasibility of Mass Burn Plant: Hercules Chemical Co., Louisiana, MO." (Poster at Partnering for Success: Extension & Outreach Expo ’97, Memorial Union, April 3, 1997)

Kaylen, M.S., Y.Choi, D.V. Dyne, and M.G. Blase. "Estimating Plant Size and Feasibility of Producing Fuel Ethanol from Ligno-Cellulosic Feedstocks." Presentation and Poster at the Third Biomass Conference of the Americas, Quebec, Canada, August 24-29,1997. Poster at Research Expo-VII, College of Agriculture, Food and Natural Resources, U. of Missouri, Fall, 1997.

Braschler, C.H., D.V. Dyne, M.S. Kaylen and M.G. Blase. "Estimating Community-Based Non-Price Impacts of Producting Fuel Ethanol from Ligno-Cellulosic Feedstocks." Poster at the Third Biomass Conference of the Americas, Quebec, Canada, August 24-29,1997. Poster at Research Expo-VII, College of Agriculture, Food and Natural Resources, U. of Missouri, Fall, 1997.

Kaylen, M.S., D.V.Dyne, M.G.Blase, K.Pashi and G.Haug. "An Economic Analysis of using Biomass to Fuel a Mass Burn Boiler." Poster at the Third Biomass Conference of the Americas, Quebec, Canada, August 24-29,1997.

Dyne, D.V., M.S. Kaylen, M.G.Blase, K.Pashi and G.Haug. "The Economic Feasibility of using Biomass to Fuel a Mass Burn Boiler: A Case Study for a Chemical Plant in North Eastern Missouri." Presented at the 1997 American Society of Agricultural Engineers Annual International Meeting, Minneapolis, Minnesota, August 10-14, 1997.

*Qiu, Z., T. Prato and M. Kaylen. "Watershed-scale Economic and Environmental Tradeoffs Incorporating Yield Uncertainty and Environmental Risk." Selected Paper Presented at the 1997 Southern Agricultural Economic Association Meeting.

* Bempah, Eric, Michael S. Kaylen, Donald Osburn and Bob Birkenholz. "An Econometric Analysis of Teacher Mobility." Paper presented at the Southern Agricultural Economics Association Meeting, Lexington, Kentucky, February 1992. (Abstract published in Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics 24 (1992): 299.)

* Lawrence, John D. and Michael S. Kaylen. "Risk Management for Livestock Producers: Hedging and Contract Production." Paper presented at the American Agricultural Economics Association Meeting, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, August 4-8, 1990. (Abstract published in American Journal of Agricultural Economics 72, 5(1990): 1351-52.) (University of Minnesota Agricultural and Applied Economics Staff Paper P90-49.)

* Wade, John W., Michael S. Kaylen, and. Deon B. Frank. "A Regional Analysis of U.S. Corn Yield Variability." Paper presented at the American Agricultural Economics Association Meeting, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, August 4-8, 1990. (Abstract published in American Journal of Agricultural Economics 72, 5(1990): 1351.)

* Kaylen, Michael S. and Suffyanu S. Koroma. "Climatic Variables and the Distribution of U.S. Corn Yields." Paper presented at the Southern Agricultural Economics Association Meeting, Little Rock, Arkansas, February 4-7, 1990. (Abstract published in Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics 22, 1(1990): 210.) (University of Missouri-Columbia Agricultural Economics Report 1990-4.)

* Kaylen, Michael S., Gary T. Devino, and Michael H. Procter. "Identification of Country Grain Elevators with Potential for Bankruptcy." Paper presented at the Southern Agricultural Economics Association Meeting, New Orleans, Louisiana, January 31-February 3, 1988. (Abstract published in Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics 20, 1(1988): 197.) (University of Missouri-Columbia Agricultural Economics Report 1987-13.)

* Feather, Peter M. and Michael S. Kaylen. "Qualitative Composite Forecasting." Paper presented at the American Agricultural Economics Association Meeting, Lansing, Michigan, August 2-5, 1987. (Abstract Journal of published in American Agricultural Economics 69(1987): 1081.) (University of Missouri-Columbia Agricultural Economics Report 1987-12.)

* Kaylen, Michael S. "Vector Autoregression Forecasting Models: A Suggestion and Evaluation Using Hog Market Data." Paper presented at Southern Agricultural Economics Association meeting, Nashville, Tennessee, February 1-4, 1987. (Abstract published in Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics 19(1987): 138.) (University of Missouri-Columbia Agricultural Economics Report 1987-11.)

* Kaylen, Michael S. "Vector Autoregression Forecasting Models: Suggested Improvements." Paper presented at American Agricultural Economics Association Meeting, Reno, Nevada, July 27-30, 1986. (Abstract published in American Journal of Agricultural Economics 68(1986): 1390.)

* Loehman, Edna, Michael Kaylen, and Paul Preckel. "The Value of Public Information for Microeconomic Production Decisions." Paper presented at American Agricultural Economics Association Meeting, Reno, Nevada, July 27-30, 1986. (Abstract published in American Journal of Agricultural Economics 68(1986): 1385).

Loehman, Edna, Michael S. Kaylen, and Paul V. Preckel. "Stochastic Microeconomic Production Modeling: Foundation For Policy Analysis Under Risk." Paper presented at Southern Regional Project S-180 Seminar "An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms", Tampa, Florida, March 23-26, 1986. (Published in Risk Analysis for Agricultural Production Firms: Implications for Managers, Policymakers and Researchers, Proceedings of the S-180 Seminar, Tampa, August 1986, 18-42.)
 

• INVITED PAPER

Lambert, David K., Michael S. Kaylen and Bruce A. McCarl. "A Discrete Stochastic Programming Formulation of the Sectoral Model under Uncertain Yields." Paper presented at Southern Regional Project S-232 Seminar, Sanibel Island, Florida, January 28-31, 1990. (Published in Quantifying Long Run Agricultural Risks and Evaluating Farmer Responses to Risk, Proceedings of the S-232 Seminar, Sanibel Island, Florida, April 1990, 89-102.
 
• OTHER PRESENTATIONS

Kaylen, M.S. "Economic Impact Analysis of Travel and Tourism in Missouri: A Proposal." (Presented to Division of Tourism, Missouri Department of Economic Development, Winter, 1997)

Organized and moderated "The Impact of Education on Economic Opportunity in Rural Areas." Organized Symposium at the American Agricultural Economic Association Annual Meeting, Baltimore, 1992. (Abstract published in American Journal of Agricultural Economics 74 (1992): 1263.)
 

• COURSES TAUGHT

Undergraduate
Agricultural Economics 251 -- Agricultural Prices (University of Missouri, Winter 1994, 1995, 1996). Senior-level price analysis and forecasting.

Economics 217 -- Economics (Purdue, Fall 1982). Introductory micro and macro-economics.

Economics 2C -- Introduction to Economic Analysis (University of California-San Diego, Spring 1977). Third course in a three quarter introductory sequence.

Graduate
Agricultural Economics 474 -- Mathematical Modeling for Social Scientists (University of Missouri-Columbia, Taught as AGEC 485 for Fall 1992, Fall 1993, Winter 1996; Taught as AGEC 474 Winter 1997, Winter 1998, Winter 1999). Ph.D. required course covering linear and non-linear programming using the General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS) package.